Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.