DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Carl Zeiss0 - 2Werder Bremen
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Werder Bremen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 17.59% | 19.18% | 63.22% |
| Both teams to score 60.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% | 34.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Carl Zeiss Jena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% | 32.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% | 10.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.29% | 33.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Carl Zeiss Jena 17.59%
Werder Bremen 63.22%
Draw 19.18%
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 4.8% 1-0 @ 3.76% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.07% Total : 17.59% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 7.37% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-4 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 4.14% 0-4 @ 3.73% 2-4 @ 2.35% 1-5 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.7% 2-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.23% Total : 63.22% |
