Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 28, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 0
Besiktas

Berghuis (17'), Haller (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yalcin (63'), Bozdogan (76'), Batshuayi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Besiktas
63.69%	19.7%	16.6%

Both teams to score 56.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56%

38.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27%

60.73%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54%

11.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.72%

36.28%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65%

36.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86%

73.14%

Score Analysis

Ajax 63.69%

Besiktas 16.6%

Draw 19.7%

Ajax	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.14% 3-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 3.87% 4-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.69%	1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.7%	1-2 @ 4.62% 0-1 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.6%