Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
