Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund1 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Ajax |
27.68% | 24.51% | 47.81% |
Both teams to score 55.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |