MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 07:15:50| >> :120:35694:35694:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Ajax

Dortmund
1 - 3
Ajax

Reus (37' pen.)
Knauff (79')
Hummels (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tadic (72'), Haller (83'), Klaassen (90+3')
Alvarez (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAjax
27.68%24.51%47.81%
Both teams to score 55.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35%46.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09%68.91%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.91%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48%51.52%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 27.68%
    Ajax 47.81%
    Draw 24.5%
Borussia DortmundDrawAjax
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.2%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.68%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 5.13%
0-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 47.81%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Ajax

Borussia Dortmund
28.9%
Draw
16.2%
Ajax
55.0%
551
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Ajax
4-0
Dortmund
Reus (11' og.), Blind (25'), Antony (57'), Haller (72')
Alvarez (33'), Maduro (90+2')

Witsel (42')
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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