Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund1 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Ajax |
| 27.68% | 24.51% | 47.81% |
| Both teams to score 55.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% | 46.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% | 68.91% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% | 19.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.48% | 51.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 27.68%
Ajax 47.81%
Draw 24.5%
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.81% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Ajax
Borussia Dortmund
28.9%Draw
16.2%Ajax
55.0%551
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
