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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
12.1% | 17.38% | 70.52% |
Both teams to score 52.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% | 37.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% | 59.85% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.93% | 42.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.5% | 78.5% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% | 9.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.1% | 31.9% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.53% 1-0 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.1% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.38% | 0-2 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.42% 0-3 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 7.52% 0-4 @ 5.11% 1-4 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.26% 0-5 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.2% Total : 70.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |