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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
56.99% | 20.92% | 22.09% |
Both teams to score 62.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.52% | 35.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.48% | 57.52% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% | 12.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% | 38.26% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% | 29.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% | 65% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 6.76% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.53% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.99% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.19% Total : 22.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |