Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax4 - 0Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 53.81% | 18.04% | 28.16% |
| Both teams to score 80.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 84.82% | 15.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.39% | 6.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% | 13.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.08% | 40.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.81%
Borussia Dortmund 28.16%
Draw 18.04%
| Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 5.98% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-2 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.03% 4-3 @ 2.69% 1-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.05% 5-3 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.12% 6-1 @ 1.01% 6-2 @ 1% Other @ 4.45% Total : 53.81% | 2-2 @ 6.6% 1-1 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 3.96% 4-4 @ 1.34% 0-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.18% 3-4 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 28.16% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Dortmund
Ajax
41.2%Draw
14.9%Borussia Dortmund
43.9%478
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
