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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
64.17% | 19.84% | 16% |
Both teams to score 54.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% | 40.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% | 62.64% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% | 11.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.84% | 37.17% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.02% | 74.98% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-1 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.1% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |