Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.