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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
59.37% | 21.35% | 19.28% |
Both teams to score 55.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% | 63.9% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% | 13.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.2% | 40.8% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% | 35.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.29% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |