League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe0 - 2Carlisle
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-1 Morecambe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Newport
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Carlisle United |
40.01% ( -0.06) | 27.07% ( 0.01) | 32.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.98% ( -0.02) | 55.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.02) | 76.28% ( 0.01) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.04) | 26.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.74% ( -0.05) | 62.26% ( 0.05) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.02) | 31.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.02) | 67.58% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 40.01%
Carlisle United 32.91%
Draw 27.07%
| Morecambe | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.91% |
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Form Guide
