League Two

League Two | Gameweek 34

Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
3 - 1
Carlisle

Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Carlisle United
31.29%	27.05%	41.66%

Both teams to score 49.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.64%

55.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.43%

76.57%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46%

32.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93%

69.07%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7%

61.3%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 31.29%

Carlisle United 41.66%

Draw 27.05%

Morecambe	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.66%