Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
