Harrogate

1 - 0

Carlisle

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.