Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.