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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Mansfield Town

Carlisle
1 - 0
Mansfield

Patrick (39')
Hayden (26'), Bennett (65'), Mellish (68'), Farman (69'), Riley (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (64')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
43.11%27.3%29.59%
Both teams to score 48.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13%56.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21%77.79%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86%26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79%61.21%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7%71.29%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.1%
    Mansfield Town 29.59%
    Draw 27.29%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-2
Carlisle
Maynard (58', 72')
Watt (81'), Kayode (93')
Thomas (62'), Watt (83')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
0-2
Mansfield

Webster (79')
Rose (29'), Maynard (45')
Sweeney (67'), White (79'), Tomlinson (88')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
3-2
Mansfield
Sowerby (4'), Hope (26', 79')
Etuhu (39'), Grainger (45')
Preston (77'), Walker (86')
Preston (40'), Bishop (45')
Bishop (45')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mansfield
1-0
Carlisle
Walker (55' pen.)
Hamilton (93')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
Mansfield
3-1
Carlisle
Hemmings (9', 75'), Bennett (31')
Angol (51'), White (90')
Devitt (67' pen.)
O'Sullivan (85'), Bennett (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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