League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Dec 15, 2020 at 7pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 0
Mansfield

Patrick (39')
Hayden (26'), Bennett (65'), Mellish (68'), Farman (69'), Riley (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (64')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
43.11%	27.3%	29.59%

Both teams to score 48.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13%

56.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21%

77.79%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86%

26.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79%

61.21%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.29%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 43.1%

Mansfield Town 29.59%

Draw 27.29%

Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.59%