League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Mar 2, 2021 at 6.30pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
3 - 1
Crawley

Stockton (5'), Mendes Gomes (59', 88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nadesan (13')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Crawley Town
39.43%	26.19%	34.38%

Both teams to score 53.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99%

73.01%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53%

25.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69%

60.3%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61%

28.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87%

64.13%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 39.43%

Crawley Town 34.38%

Draw 26.19%

Morecambe	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.43%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.38%