Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax5 - 0Sittard
We said: Ajax 4-0 Fortuna Sittard
Ajax were back to their best in the victory over Feyenoord last time out and will head into this one full of confidence. We are backing them to cruise to victory come the full-time whistle, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 95.83%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 0.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 5-0 (11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 95.83% | 3.2% | 0.97% |
| Both teams to score 35.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 86.59% | 13.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 71.83% | 28.16% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.83% | 1.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 93.6% | 6.4% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.34% | 63.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.59% | 92.41% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 95.8%
Fortuna Sittard 0.97%
Draw 3.2%
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 4-0 @ 12.32% 3-0 @ 11.04% 5-0 @ 11% 6-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.43% 4-1 @ 5.57% 7-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 4.99% 5-1 @ 4.97% 6-1 @ 3.7% 2-1 @ 3.35% 1-0 @ 3.33% 8-0 @ 2.91% 7-1 @ 2.36% 9-0 @ 1.45% 8-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.15% Total : 95.8% | 1-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.7% Total : 3.2% | Other @ 0.97% Total : 0.97% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard
Ajax
87.0%Draw
0.0%Fortuna Sittard
13.0%23
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 5.45pm
Jan 24, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Sittard
1-2
Ajax
May 10, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sittard
P-P
Ajax
Sep 25, 2019 7.45pm
