Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 27, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 4
Groningen

Seuntjens (24')
Janssen (63')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ngonge (29'), Cox (42' og.), Irandust (51'), Strand Larsen (80')
Abraham (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Groningen

Given the hosts' struggles and Groningen's improvements recently, we predict a narrow away win on Saturday. Fortuna should certainly not roll over in a game that they will view as a good opportunity to pick up points, but Ultee's men will be wounded by consecutive heavy defeats and may not have enough to avoid another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Groningen
33.38%	25.68%	40.94%

Both teams to score 54.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82%

49.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75%

71.24%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95%

28.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3%

63.7%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05%

57.94%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 33.38%

Groningen 40.94%

Draw 25.67%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.38%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.94%