Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Dec 4, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
4 - 1
Utrecht

Gakpo (27'), Ramalho (35'), Doan (51'), Mwene (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

van der Hoorn (12')
ter Avest (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 FC Utrecht

PSV have been near-perfect on home turf this term, while Utrecht have struggled on the road. We expect an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly edging out their visitors in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
60.44%	21.05%	18.51%

Both teams to score 55.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.63%

41.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.23%

63.77%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73%

13.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.93%

40.07%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05%

35.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27%

72.73%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 60.44%

FC Utrecht 18.51%

Draw 21.05%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.31% Total : 60.44%	1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.05%	1-2 @ 5.04% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.51%