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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
60.44% | 21.05% | 18.51% |
Both teams to score 55.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.63% | 41.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.23% | 63.77% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% | 13.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.93% | 40.07% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% | 35.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% | 72.73% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.31% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |