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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.48%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
57.48% | 20.62% | 21.9% |
Both teams to score 62.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.71% | 34.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.81% | 56.19% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% | 11.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.82% | 37.17% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 6.85% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 0.98% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 3.39% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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