We said: Willem II 0-4 Ajax
Ajax have been imperious in front of goal, and Willem II will need to be at their absolute best to stand any chance of keeping the defending champions at bay. We fancy the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 9.08% | 16.15% | 74.77% |
| Both teams to score 45.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% | 49.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.37% | 84.63% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% | 9.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.5% | 31.49% |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 9.08%
Ajax 74.75%
Draw 16.15%
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 3.24% 2-1 @ 2.67% 2-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.15% | 0-2 @ 13.11% 0-1 @ 11.06% 0-3 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 7.19% 0-4 @ 6.14% 1-4 @ 4.26% 0-5 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-5 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-6 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.46% Total : 74.75% |
How you voted: Willem II vs Ajax
Willem II
12.0%Draw
0.0%Ajax
88.0%25
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
Dec 6, 2019 7.15pm
