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Champions League header

Champions League
Liverpool logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Ajax

Liverpool
2 - 1
Ajax

Salah (17'), Matip (89')
Matip (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kudus (27')
Alvarez (59'), Berghuis (90+1')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and Ajax.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Tuesday's Champions League Group A clash with Ajax.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League group-stage clash with Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Ajax

Last Six:
Last Game: Ajax 5-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Liverpool 2-2 Ajax

 Liverpool's extra period of rest may work in their favour fitness-wise, especially when it comes to the likes of Thiago and Arthur Melo, but Klopp would have surely wanted the opportunity to gain an injection of confidence before the visit of an Ajax side who only know how to win. The Reds' lacklustre rearguard cannot expect to keep a rampant Ajax attack at bay, but a refreshed Liverpool front line can turn up the heat at the Anfield fortress to rescue a point for the under-performing hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Ajax win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawAjax
48.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 24.54% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 27.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.37% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.156 0.16)47.03% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (0.145 0.15)69.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.081999999999994 0.08)19.61% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.134 0.13)51.56% (-0.135 -0.13)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)31.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)67.44% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 48.11%
    Ajax 27.34%
    Draw 24.54%
LiverpoolDrawAjax
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.34%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Ajax

Liverpool
43.9%
Draw
17.6%
Ajax
38.5%
919
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2020 8pm
Group D
Liverpool
1-0
Ajax
Jones (58')
Wijnaldum (70'), Henderson (90+1'), Mane (90+2')

Schuurs (42'), Blind (55')
Oct 21, 2020 8pm
Group D
Ajax
0-1
Liverpool

Promes (90+3')
Tagliafico (35' og.)
Milner (38'), Alexander-Arnold (80')
rhs 2.0
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