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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 17 | 12 |
2 | Ajax | 4 | 9 | 12 |
3 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
11 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Cambuur |
84.56% ( -1.23) | 9.51% ( 0.74) | 5.93% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.35% ( -1.99) | 17.65% ( 1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
65.33% ( -3.02) | 34.67% ( 3.02) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.08% ( -0.45) | 2.92% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.77% ( -1.61) | 13.23% ( 1.61) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( -0.7) | 39.08% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% ( -0.66) | 75.79% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Cambuur |
3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.47) 5-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.29) 6-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.2) 7-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.23) 7-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.25) 6-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 5.21% Total : 84.56% | 1-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.51% | 1-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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