MX23RW : Friday, November 22 01:42:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Cambuur

Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur

Bergwijn (35', 40'), Rensch (53'), Kudus (64')
Alvarez (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balk (44'), Paulissen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree and it is hard to see that changing here. We expect a comfortable victory for the defending champions, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawCambuur
84.56% (-1.234 -1.23) 9.51% (0.74 0.74) 5.93% (0.491 0.49)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-0.953 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.35% (-1.987 -1.99)17.65% (1.984 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.33% (-3.022 -3.02)34.67% (3.019 3.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.08% (-0.447 -0.45)2.92% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.77% (-1.607 -1.61)13.23% (1.605 1.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.698 -0.7)39.08% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.662 -0.66)75.79% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.56%
    Cambuur 5.93%
    Draw 9.51%
AjaxDrawCambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.211 0.21)
4-0 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.624 0.62)
4-1 @ 6.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.47 0.47)
5-0 @ 5.24% (-0.242 -0.24)
5-1 @ 4.92% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.517 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.09% (-0.293 -0.29)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-2 @ 2.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
7-0 @ 1.56% (-0.228 -0.23)
7-1 @ 1.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
6-2 @ 1.36% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 84.56%
1-1 @ 3.79% (0.423 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.14% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.51%
1-2 @ 1.78% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 5.93%

How you voted: Ajax vs Cambuur

Ajax
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Cambuur
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Cambuur
2-3
Ajax
Kallon (48'), Joosten (79')
Boere (19'), Maulun (59')
Tadic (3'), Haller (40'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Haller (71')
Sep 18, 2021 7pm
Ajax
9-0
Cambuur
Maduro (16'), Berghuis (19'), Mazraoui (29'), Neres (38', 84'), Tadic (60'), Daramy (64'), Haller (67'), Danilo (76')
Apr 9, 2016 6.45pm
Nov 21, 2015 6.45pm
Ajax
5-1
Cambuur
Veltman (25'), Milik (29'), Klaassen (38', 45'), Younes (61')
May 10, 2015 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
Cambuur
Fischer (57', 62'), Schone (83')

de Ridder (21'), El Makrini (33'), Pereira (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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