MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:41:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Cambuur

Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur

Bergwijn (35', 40'), Rensch (53'), Kudus (64')
Alvarez (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balk (44'), Paulissen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree and it is hard to see that changing here. We expect a comfortable victory for the defending champions, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawCambuur
84.56% (-1.234 -1.23) 9.51% (0.74 0.74) 5.93% (0.491 0.49)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-0.953 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.35% (-1.987 -1.99)17.65% (1.984 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.33% (-3.022 -3.02)34.67% (3.019 3.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.08% (-0.447 -0.45)2.92% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.77% (-1.607 -1.61)13.23% (1.605 1.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.698 -0.7)39.08% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.662 -0.66)75.79% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.56%
    Cambuur 5.93%
    Draw 9.51%
AjaxDrawCambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.211 0.21)
4-0 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.624 0.62)
4-1 @ 6.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.47 0.47)
5-0 @ 5.24% (-0.242 -0.24)
5-1 @ 4.92% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.517 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.09% (-0.293 -0.29)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-2 @ 2.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
7-0 @ 1.56% (-0.228 -0.23)
7-1 @ 1.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
6-2 @ 1.36% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 84.56%
1-1 @ 3.79% (0.423 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.14% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.51%
1-2 @ 1.78% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 5.93%

How you voted: Ajax vs Cambuur

Ajax
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Cambuur
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Cambuur
2-3
Ajax
Kallon (48'), Joosten (79')
Boere (19'), Maulun (59')
Tadic (3'), Haller (40'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Haller (71')
Sep 18, 2021 7pm
Ajax
9-0
Cambuur
Maduro (16'), Berghuis (19'), Mazraoui (29'), Neres (38', 84'), Tadic (60'), Daramy (64'), Haller (67'), Danilo (76')
Apr 9, 2016 6.45pm
Nov 21, 2015 6.45pm
Ajax
5-1
Cambuur
Veltman (25'), Milik (29'), Klaassen (38', 45'), Younes (61')
May 10, 2015 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
Cambuur
Fischer (57', 62'), Schone (83')

de Ridder (21'), El Makrini (33'), Pereira (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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