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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax


de Guzman (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 6-1 Groningen
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Ajax

Ajax's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the defending champions to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
9.02% (0.083 0.08) 15.07% (0.157 0.16) 75.91% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)35.78% (0.511 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.15% (-0.564 -0.56)57.85% (0.567 0.57)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.186 -0.19)46.58% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.143 -0.14)82.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)7.85% (0.1689 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.17% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)27.83% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 9.02%
    Ajax 75.9%
    Draw 15.07%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
1-0 @ 2.8% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
1-1 @ 7.11% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
0-2 @ 11.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 75.9%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
5.6%
Ajax
86.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
Jan 19, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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