Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Apr 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Sparta

Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32

We said: Ajax 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and we expect more of the same on Saturday. We fancy the hosts to secure a comfortable victory and continue their march towards a 36th league crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.43%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 1.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.74%) and 2-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.39%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
93.43%	5.02%	1.55%

Both teams to score 34.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.23%

20.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.76%

39.25%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.75%

2.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

89.2%

10.8%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.82%

65.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.92%

93.08%

Score Analysis

Ajax 93.42%

Sparta Rotterdam 1.55%

Draw 5.02%

Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
3-0 @ 13.41% 4-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 10.58% 5-0 @ 9.69% 6-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.74% 1-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 4.53% 5-1 @ 4.15% 7-0 @ 3.33% 6-1 @ 2.63% 8-0 @ 1.58% 7-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.07% Total : 93.42%	1-1 @ 2.39% 0-0 @ 1.47% 2-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.02%	Other @ 1.55% Total : 1.55%