Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles

Auassar (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Idzes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32

Go Ahead Eagles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36
11	Groningen	33	-13	36

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles

Sparta are now entering the last chance saloon to preserve their top-flight status, and anything short of a victory this weekend would be a huge setback. We fancy them to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
37.59%	26.97%	35.44%

Both teams to score 50.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.71%

54.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32%

75.68%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.59%

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75%

29.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79%

65.21%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 37.59%

Go Ahead Eagles 35.43%

Draw 26.97%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.43%