We said: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 PSV Eindhoven
Both teams are having to deal with quick turnarounds, something which may add a bit of unpredictability about this contest. Nevertheless, we have to back PSV to come through, but not by the margin that many may have predicted before the weekend's results. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 16.77% | 20.29% | 62.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% | 63.28% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% | 37.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.57% | 74.42% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% | 12.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.72% | 38.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.65% 1-0 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.29% | 0-2 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 6.92% 0-4 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.38% 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.93% |
