Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

Last Six:

Last Game: Emmen 3-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	4	-1	3
14	FC Utrecht	3	-1	2
15	FC Volendam	2	-3	1

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Feyenoord	4	8	10
2	Ajax	3	7	9
3	Heerenveen	4	5	8

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
17.36% ( 0.68)	19.62% ( 0.69)	63.02% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 58.36% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.39% (

-2.06)

36.61% (

2.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.24% (

-2.28)

58.76% (

2.29)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.5)

34.35% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.55)

71.06% (

0.55)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

-0.94)

11.1% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.51% (

-2.11)

35.49% (

2.11)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 17.36%

Ajax 63.02%

Draw 19.62%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.36%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.16) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.02%