Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.