Buoyed by their recent victory, Willem II will head to Eindhoven with the wind in their sails, but awaiting them is a PSV side currently firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.