UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 0
PSV

(Leicester City win 2-1 on aggregate)

Albrighton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Leicester City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

We said: Leicester City 2-1 PSV Eindhoven

This tie has an open feel to it and we feel that both fixtures should prove to be entertaining. On Thursday, however, home advantage could prove key for Leicester, who we think will run out victors by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 38.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
38.16%	23.46%	38.38%

Both teams to score 63.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85%

38.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58%

60.42%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3%

52.69%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78%

20.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.47%

52.53%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 38.16%

PSV Eindhoven 38.38%

Draw 23.45%

Leicester City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 38.38%