Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 2
AZ

Nunnely (7'), Kabangu (17')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Martins Indi (35'), Aboukhlal (90+1')
Martins Indi (54'), Clasie (76'), Karlsson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

We said: Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

Willem have failed to show much chance of picking up points this season, especially with a poor record in front of goal particularly in recent weeks, which is likely to continue on Sunday. Alkmaar will be determined to bounce back after a difficult start to March, and they will feel playing a side threatened by relegation is a good opportunity to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
18.59%	22.22%	59.19%

Both teams to score 51.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.6%

46.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31%

68.69%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.18%

38.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.45%

75.55%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69%

15.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.95%

44.05%

Score Analysis

Willem II 18.59%

AZ Alkmaar 59.18%

Draw 22.21%

Willem II	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.62% 2-1 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.66% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.59%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 11.15% 0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-4 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.18%