Eredivisie | 2nd Leg

May 29, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
6 - 1
Vitesse

(AZ Alkmaar win 7-3 on aggregate)

Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), de Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Vitesse

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
58.26% ( 1.38)	22.17% ( -0.4)	19.57% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

0.43)

44.77% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

0.41)

67.13% (

-0.41)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

0.61)

15.07% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.42% (

1.13)

43.58% (

-1.12)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.75)

36.8% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-0.76)

73.59% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 58.25%

Vitesse 19.57%

Draw 22.17%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.25%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.17%	0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.57%