Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.