Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.