MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 03:19:12| >> :600:13848991:13848991:
PSV
KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax

PSV
2 - 1
Ajax

Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 1-3 Ajax

With both PSV and Ajax looking vulnerable in defence in recent weeks, goals are to be expected this weekend. Five of the last six meetings between these two sides have seen at least three goals scored. Another thrilling showdown between arguably the two strongest Dutch sides at present is set to take place, but considering the success that Ajax have recently had over PSV, we can see Ten Hag's men outscoring their opponents and retaining their crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
33.93%23.58%42.48%
Both teams to score 62.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61%39.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27%61.73%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12%56.87%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61%50.38%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 33.93%
    Ajax 42.48%
    Draw 23.58%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.82%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.48%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
Ajax
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
PSV
1-1
Ajax
Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')
Feb 10, 2021 7pm
Ajax
2-1
PSV
Haller (19', 24')
Tagliafico (64'), Rensch (64'), Alvarez (89')
Maduro (58' og.)
Teze (26'), Zahavi (82'), Malen (89')
Jan 10, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
2-2
PSV
Promes (40'), Antony (65')
Klaassen (53')
Zahavi (2', 21')
Zahavi (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
16Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
17Crystal Palace603359-43
18Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!