Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
4 - 0
Rangers

Alvarez (17'), Berghuis (32'), Kudus (33'), Bergwijn (80')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Jack (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur
Saturday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	5	13	15
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13

Rangers

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Rangers
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Celtic	6	24	18
2	Rangers	6	7	13
3	Aberdeen	6	6	10

Considering their bright start to the new season and the advantage of playing in front of their own fans, Ajax will be regarded as the favourites for Wednesday's contest, although Rangers tend to thrive on the European stage and should not be underestimated. The Gers will be desperate to respond with a strong performance after last weekend's defeat, but we can see the hosts kick-starting their group-stage campaign with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Rangers win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Rangers
51.69% ( 0.14)	24% ( -0)	24.31% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

-0.11)

47.14% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.62% (

-0.1)

69.38% (

0.1)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77% (

0.01)

18.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

0.02)

49.26% (

-0.02)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

-0.18)

33.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72% (

-0.19)

70.27% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ajax 51.68%

Rangers 24.31%

Draw 24%

Ajax	Draw	Rangers
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.68%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.31%