UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Wit (63')
Bazoer (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dnipro-1 and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	16	12

We said: Dnipro-1 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar are currently firing on all cylinders and are huge favourites to get the job done here. We are backing the away side to secure all three points in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24.41% ( 0.01)	23% ( -0.01)	52.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.71% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.36% (

0.05)

42.64% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

0.05)

65.04% (

-0.06)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

0.04)

31.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

0.05)

67.42% (

-0.05)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.02)

16.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

0.04)

45.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Dnipro-1 24.41%

AZ Alkmaar 52.59%

Draw 23%

Dnipro-1	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 24.41%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.59%