Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.