Veres

2 - 0

Mariupol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.