Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.
