Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Larnaca3 - 0Dnipro-1
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dnipro-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: AEK Larnaca X-Y Dnipro-1
AEK Larnaca got the job done away from home last week and will head into Thursday looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first leg. We are backing them to make use of their home crowd advantage to claim the victory, albeit by another slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
37.49% ( 0.21) | 26.31% ( 0.06) | 36.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( -0.27) | 51.5% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.24) | 73.3% ( 0.24) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.01) | 26.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.05% ( -0.01) | 61.95% ( 0.01) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.29) | 27.44% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.38) | 62.93% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
AEK Larnaca 37.49%
Dnipro-1 36.2%
Draw 26.31%
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.2% |
How you voted: Larnaca vs Dnipro-1
AEK Larnaca
73.0%Draw
16.2%Dnipro-1
10.8%111
Head to Head
Form Guide
