Partizan have been near-impenetrable on their home turf in recent weeks, claiming eight wins and two draws from their last 10 games. We are tipping them to turn this tie around in front of their home crowd against an opposing side who have managed just two wins in their last seven games on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Partizan	Draw	AEK Larnaca
41.49% ( 0.03)	25.94% ( -0.11)	32.57% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.73% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

0.48)

50.51% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

0.43)

72.43% (

-0.42)

Partizan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

0.23)

24.1% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6% (

0.33)

58.4% (

-0.33)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

0.29)

29.21% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

0.36)

65.16% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Partizan 41.48%

AEK Larnaca 32.57%

Draw 25.93%

Partizan	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.48%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.57%