Larnaca's pre-season period was characterised by defensive deficiencies countering their attacking prowess, which should therefore make for an entertaining first-leg battle this week. Midtjylland are far more experienced at the top level of European football, and even though off-field issues surrounding Sisto are bedevilling them somewhat, the Danish side should put one foot firmly in the third round this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.98%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	AEK Larnaca
63.34% ( -0.05)	23.21% ( 0.01)	13.45% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 38.55% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58% (

0.04)

58.41% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

0.03)

79.01% (

-0.03)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88% (

-0)

18.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.94% (

-0)

49.06% (

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.08% (

0.09)

52.91% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.4% (

0.05)

86.59% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 63.32%

AEK Larnaca 13.45%

Draw 23.21%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 16.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 63.32%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 13.45%