Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Dnipro Arena
Dnipro-11 - 2Larnaca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mariupol 0-3 Dnipro-1
Friday, December 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Friday, December 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Partizan 2-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Dnipro-1 1-2 AEK Larnaca
Considering the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, AEK Larnaca head into Thursday as clear favourites to come out on top. While we expect Dnipro-1 to put up a fight in a bid to claim a headline-grabbing victory, we are backing the Cyprus outfit to claim a first-leg win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AEK Larnaca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
44.29% ( 0.02) | 27.16% ( -0) | 28.55% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% ( 0.01) | 56.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( 0) | 77.73% ( -0.01) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.01) | 25.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.66% ( 0.02) | 60.34% ( -0.02) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -0.01) | 35.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.9% ( -0.01) | 72.1% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Dnipro-1 44.29%
AEK Larnaca 28.55%
Draw 27.15%
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.55% |
How you voted: Dnipro-1 vs Larnaca
Dnipro-1
42.2%Draw
18.8%AEK Larnaca
39.1%64
Form Guide
