Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Kras Stadion

Volendam
2 - 4
Ajax

Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Eiting (84'), Plat (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
Conceicao (81'), Klaassen (87'), Brobbey (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Volendam
Sunday, October 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-6 Napoli
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax are currently enduring their worst spell since the turn of the year and they need all three points here to weather the storm somewhat. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-3 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	Ajax
11.48% ( 1.13)	14.84% ( 0.55)	73.69% ( -1.68)

Both teams to score 60.87% (

2.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.7% (

0.65)

26.3% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.4% (

0.82)

46.6% (

-0.82)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85% (

2.37)

35.15% (

-2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

2.4)

71.9% (

-2.4)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87% (

-0.15)

6.14% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.74% (

-0.42)

23.26% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 11.48%

Ajax 73.69%

Draw 14.84%

FC Volendam	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.15) Other @ 2% Total : 11.48%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.84%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.82% ( -0.54) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 5.45% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.15) 2-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.14) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.27% Total : 73.69%