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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-3 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Ajax |
11.48% (![]() | 14.84% (![]() | 73.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.7% (![]() | 26.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.4% (![]() | 46.6% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% (![]() | 35.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.1% (![]() | 71.9% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.87% (![]() | 6.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.74% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 11.48% | 1-1 @ 6.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.84% | 1-2 @ 8.78% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 4.27% Total : 73.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |