Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax1 - 6Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Torino
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Ajax 1-2 Napoli
In what will be a tightly contested game in Amsterdam, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances and to play an open game that could leave them susceptible to counter-attacks. Nevertheless, Napoli will manage to find a way through the Ajax rearguard due to their sheer quality in the final third. Their offensive arsenal will prove to be too much for Ajax to handle in the end, handing them a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Napoli |
40.8% ( 0.04) | 23.3% ( 0.02) | 35.9% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( -0.1) | 37.54% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( -0.11) | 59.76% ( 0.11) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( -0.02) | 18.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( -0.05) | 50.31% ( 0.05) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( -0.07) | 21.15% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( -0.11) | 54.01% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 40.8%
Napoli 35.9%
Draw 23.29%
Ajax | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.9% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Napoli
Ajax
27.6%Draw
16.1%Napoli
56.3%503
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 15:36:21
Friday, June 21
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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