Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Rangers
1 - 3
Ajax

Tavernier (87' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Berghuis (4'), Kudus (29'), Conceicao (89')
Taylor (19'), Rensch (55'), Conceicao (90+3')

Rangers eliminated from Europe with zero points after Ajax defeat

Rangers end their Champions League campaign with zero points in Group A as Ajax run out 3-1 winners at Ibrox to seal a third-placed finish and a Europa League place.

Nov 1, 21:52

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Rangers and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Liverpool
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Ajax likely to rest a few key players given their strong position in terms of holding onto third spot in Group A, we can envisage Rangers salvaging some pride with a positive result on Tuesday. It is incredibly unlikely to be the manner of victory they would need in order to drop down to the Europa League rather than crashing out of Europe, but it would at least ensure that they avoid ending their involvement in the Champions League without a point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Rangers	Draw	Ajax
34.63% ( -0.21)	22.96% ( 0.05)	42.41% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

-0.31)

36.14% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

-0.34)

58.25% (

0.34)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

-0.25)

21.16% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

-0.39)

54.03% (

0.39)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.06)

17.6% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.83% (

-0.1)

48.17% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Rangers 34.63%

Ajax 42.41%

Draw 22.96%

Rangers	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.41%