Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
0 - 3
Liverpool

FT(HT: 0-1)

Salah (42'), Nunez (49'), Elliott (52')

Jurgen Klopp: 'Liverpool will not take Champions League progress for granted'

Jurgen Klopp refuses to take progress in the Champions League for granted as his side seal a last-16 place with a 3-0 win over Ajax in Group A.

Oct 27, 07:30

Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring for Liverpool against Manchester City on October 16, 2022

Liverpool cruise past Ajax to reach knockout stages

Liverpool cruise past Ajax 3-0 to reach the knockout stages of the Champions League for the sixth successive season under Jurgen Klopp's management.

Oct 26, 22:01

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-4 Ajax
Saturday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We expect a fiercely competitive game on Wednesday, with both teams needing a positive result to boost their chances of progressing to the knockout stages. Given that a draw is essentially of little use to Ajax, Schreuder will almost certainly go all out for the win, potentially playing into Liverpool's hands in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Liverpool
42.79% ( -0.04)	21.82%	35.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 69.66% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.88% (

30.11% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.67% (

51.33% (

-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.98% (

-0.01)

15.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.51% (

-0.02)

43.48% (

0.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

0.01)

18.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

0.03)

48.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ajax 42.79%

Liverpool 35.39%

Draw 21.82%

Ajax	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.79%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.39%